We help to operate in times of political, economic and technological disruptions

providing basis for decision in business, administration and education

East Asia Europe Middle East and North Africa North America Russia and Central Asia South and Central America South Asia Southeast Asia and Australia Subsaharan Africa

Navigating global trends, examining issues

GIS Advisory Services provides its clients with expert insight on how to navigate complex geopolitical situations and respond to trends globally and in specific regions or countries. Decision makers need a broad perspective in today’s rapidly changing world. GIS insights come from our one-of-a-kind network of experts with specific, local, sector-based knowledge and their own networks of sources.

Politics Economy and Trade Technology Security & Defense Energy Society & Civilization

Identifying consequences of economic and political trends

We specialize in forecasting the long-term intended and especially, unintended, consequences of short-term measures. Our analysis of geopolitics is down-to-earth, translating lessons drawn from historical legacies and geographical facts into practical, operational tools. Geopolitics, as we understand it, allows the development of realistic scenarios and fosters out-of-the-box thinking. We deliver scenarios based on probabilities and help clients understand the rationale of players in the other countries

Laying out scenarios for future developments

Change is a constant. We provide unique, up-to-date, on-point analysis and insight. Our well-structured dossiers include critical background. Drawing on our experts’ local knowledge and networks, we help all clients secure a decisive edge in anticipating future developments. This gives them the opportunity to operate effectively and reposition themselves as needed in a shifting international environment

Global expert work Shifts and developments Scenarios and Consequences Continents & Oceans

Focusing on customer relevance

Leadership means envisioning the future differently than others. Risk-taking is what drives business. We help our clients identify and seize opportunities where others see only unmanageable risk. Overcoming obstacles creates a competitive advantage. Our goal is to be an indispensable source of intelligence, giving our customers a better understanding of the challenges they face and an edge in making decisions.

Prince Michael's of Liechtenstein comment
Prince Michael's of Liechtenstein comment

Advice based on relevance and in-depth expertise

We have a select, global network of experts. The qualifications we require of them are profound background knowledge of the region or sector they specialize in, and a network of relations which gives them additional information. This allows GIS to offer advice based on genuine information that is not limited to open-source data.

GIS was founded in Liechtenstein, a country which is neutral and, due to its size, highly dependent on decisions and developments in other countries. It has always been essential for Liechtenstein to be informed about developments and trends. On the other hand, it has to be impartial, as its possibilities to influence international decisions are limited. The neutrality of Liechtenstein, together with the careful selection of experts, allows GIS to be impartial and to remain purely fact-based.

The need to collect solid and relevant information, not tainted by interests or ideologies, was the reason behind the creation of Geopolitical Intelligence Services (GIS). Our expert network allows us to offer customized advisory services and to identify the right advisors for specific needs.

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Interested in GIS Overview? See our reports

Every week GIS customers receive access to five highly accurate reports, which are not products of journalism, but forward looking reviews, with only necessary background. Our reports focus only on issues and trends that are relevant to the topic.

  • Report
  • Scenarios

Italy: Salvini’s tactical mistake puts the left in power

Dr. Alberto Mingardi

After the European elections this year, Matteo Salvini and his Lega party were riding high. Many expected he would capitalize on the wave of support and call for new elections. When he finally did, parties on the left moved against him. With a savvy political move from former Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, the center- and far left have taken control of the government. A battle over new election rules, however, mean the tumult in Italian politics is far from over.

  • Report
  • Scenarios

Italy: Salvini’s tactical mistake puts the left in power

After the European elections this year, Matteo Salvini and his Lega party were riding high. Many expected he would capitalize on the wave of support and call for new elections. When he finally did, parties on the left moved against him. With a savvy political move from former Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, the center- and far left have taken control of the government. A battle over new election rules, however, mean the tumult in Italian politics is far from over.

Dr. Alberto Mingardi
  • Analysis
  • Scenarios

Opinion: European airlines set to lose competitiveness under new rules

European Commission President-elect Ursula von der Leyen has made it clear that she intends to create a level playing field for EU airlines. However, the legislative package currently being discussed contains measures that would have the opposite effect. Taxes on kerosene could hobble EU aviation companies by putting them at a big disadvantage compared to their non-EU peers. Furthermore, the commission is considering changes in remuneration and employment rules for aircrew that are likely to backfire.

Emma Hadrovic
  • Report
  • Scenarios

Instability in sub-Saharan Africa: The ‘tribal’ factor

A spate of violence against foreigners in South Africa last month highlighted Africa’s struggle to overcome ethnic divisions. In many countries, tribal and religious loyalties supersede national ones, making it difficult to create a united national polity. States that have been forced to unite in conflict have done better in overcoming tribalism. The ones that do so successfully will have a greater chance of achieving stability, and therefore attracting crucial foreign investment.

Professor Jaime Nogueira Pinto
  • Report
  • Scenarios

Japan accelerates and expands its defense preparations

For seven decades after World War II, Japan was comfortably ensconced in a geopolitical framework that seemed both stable and predictable. With the rise of China and, more recently, new responses from the United States to economic and geopolitical challenges, this framework is evolving. More than ever in the postwar era, Japan is called upon to enhance its military capabilities and strengthen its security – not only within its territory and territorial waters, but far beyond in the Indo-Pacific region.

Urs Schoettli
  • Report
  • Scenarios

The U.S.-Taliban peace process: Uncertain but not moribund

The Trump administration’s long-standing policy on Afghanistan has been that a lasting settlement there will require the involvement of the Taliban. In September, however, talks between the two sides broke down. National Security Advisor John Bolton resigned, and more personnel changes are rumored to be in the offing. With an election coming up, many wonder if President Trump plans to stay the course or opt for a quick exit. 

Dr. James Jay Carafano
  • Report
  • Scenarios

The UAE’s oil and gas investment spree

In 2018, the United Arab Emirates launched a five-year spending plan of more than $130 billion to overhaul its oil and gas sector, ultimately aiming to become gas self-sufficient. The increase in production could result in a larger share of the oil market, but only if environmental concerns do not cause a sharp drop in demand for petrochemical products.

Dr. Carole Nakhle